Poll Positioning: Democrats & SA

poll A couple days ago, the Burnt Orange Report announced the results of a recent phone-based poll on the Democratic Party's presidential candidates, which showed Clinton gaining six points to reach 40 percent of Texas's Democratic primary vote.

Full results are located here.

The poll, conducted by IVR Polls, a small Austin-based operation run by Ralph Bordie, also showed Bill Richardson jumping in popularity. According to Bordie, Richardson owes a lot to West Texas and the Panhandle, who have finally realized that Richardson's governorship was right next door.

Bordie was kind enough to crunch the numbers for the Great San Antonio area (based on the 210/830 area codes). A caveat: all of Texas was represented by 513 respondents, and so SA's just a small sample with a large margin of error.

SOLID -  40 Percent
Hillary Clinton's support hasn't budged since IVR Polls'  last survey on March 22, which showed 40 percent of Dem-primary-voting San Antonians supporting the senator.  If Al Gore were to enter the race, 70 percent of her supporters wouldn't switch, according to the research.
SOARING - 34 Percent
Barak Obama's support jumped 14 percent since March 22, grabbing 20 percent of San Antonio's potential Dem vote.  However, they aren't too committed: 70 percent said they "would" switch if Gore entered the race.
LIMPING - 19 Percent
John Edwards picked up 1 percent since March 22, when he was clocked at 18 percent of the potential SA Dem vote. 90 percent of those said they would "possibly" switch if Gore entered the race.

HALVED - 5 Percent
No other candidate got more than 2 percent of the SA Dem-vote, leaving 5 percent to still make up their mind. In March, 10 percent were undecided.

TEMPTING - 28 percent
No data from March is available, but according to the poll, 28 percent of San Antonio probable Dem-primary voters would switch to Gore if he announced his candidacy.

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