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Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Beto O'Rourke Reaches a Statistical Tie With Ted Cruz in Emerson Poll

Posted By on Tue, Aug 28, 2018 at 2:32 PM

click to enlarge Beto O'Rourke speaks at a South Texas campaign event. - SANFORD NOWLIN
  • Sanford Nowlin
  • Beto O'Rourke speaks at a South Texas campaign event.
Rep. Beto O'Rourke has pulled into a statistical dead heat with Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz in an Emerson College e-poll published Wednesday.

The poll, conducted Aug. 22-25, gave Cruz 38 percent of the vote and O'Rourke 37 percent, while another 21 percent of respondents were undecided. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.

Recent polls have put Cruz a few points ahead of O'Rourke in the highly visible U.S. Senate race. A victory by the El Paso upstart would be a major upset since Democrats haven't won a statewide election in Texas since 1994.

According to the Emerson poll, Cruz's biggest challenge is in seizing a second senate term is swaying independent voters. He had a 57 percent unfavorable rating with the group and only 25 percent found him favorable.

O'Rourke also had an upper hand with Texans between the ages of 18 and 34, who favor him 45 percent to 28 percent. Cruz's strength was among voters 55 to 74 by 14 points, where he leads 45 percent to 37 percent.

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